Topic
People analytics
Articles in HR & People Teams written specifically for people analytics.
Base Rate Neglect: Why a 95% Accurate Attrition-Risk Flag Still Produces Mostly False Alarms
A people analytics model with 95% accuracy sounds trustworthy. When the thing it's predicting is genuinely uncommon, that same model can flag mostly people who were never actually going to leave.
Correlation In Your HR Data Is Not Causation, and Attrition Models Get This Wrong Constantly
Most attrition models are built on a form of survivorship bias — analyzing the people who left without properly comparing them to the people who didn't, under the same conditions.